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Table 3 Predicted median oral morphine equivalent dose (mg)

From: Postoperative analgesia for upper gastrointestinal surgery: a retrospective cohort analysis

Direction of change in analgesia

Subgroup of surgery

Median difference in oral morphine equivalent dose (mg)

95% Credible Interval

Probability

Increase in median OMED \(\ge 10mg\)

Reduction in median OMED \(\ge 10mg\)

Non-neuraxial to intrathecal morphine

Laparoscopic

-5.0

-18.3 to 9.3

0.03

0.22

Open

-6.0

-31.9 to 22.4

0.14

0.38

Type 1 surgery

-6.2

-31.1 to 20.0

0.11

0.38

Type 2 surgery

-2.1

-51.3 to 47.5

0.29

0.36

Type 3 surgery

-4.6

-18.6 to 9.5

0.03

0.22

Intrathecal morphine to non-neuraxial

Laparoscopic

3.5

-22.8 to 33.8

0.31

0.17

Open

4.4

-23.2 to 37.5

0.37

0.16

Type 1 surgery

4.1

-21.4 to 30.4

0.33

0.14

Type 2 surgery

7.1

-53.2 to 71.5

0.46

0.28

Type 3 surgery

3.9

-51.6 to 64.3

0.41

0.28

Non-neuraxial to thoracic epidural analgesia

Laparoscopic

-38.5

-47.2 to -29.4

0.00

1.00

Open

-67.2

-86.3 to -47.2

0.00

1.00

Type 1 surgery

-63.1

-82.0 to -46.4

0.00

1.00

Type 2 surgery

-48.5

-99.6 to -11.8

0.00

0.98

Type 3 surgery

-37.6

-46.2 to -28.6

0.00

1.00

Thoracic epidural analgesia to non-neuraxial

Laparoscopic

27.1

5.8 to 58.6

0.94

0.00

Open

66.3

41.5 to 97.3

1.00

0.00

Type 1 surgery

61.3

38.8 to 90.4

1.00

0.00

Type 2 surgery

68.6

37.1 to 107.7

1.00

0.00

Type 3 surgery

51.8

5.1 to 128.0

0.97

0.00

Intrathecal morphine to thoracic epidural analgesia

Laparoscopic

-41.8

-66.2 to -20.1

0.00

1.00

Open

-66.4

-87.9 to -47.0

0.00

1.00

Type 1 surgery

-56.6

-74.4 to -38.5

0.00

1.00

Type 2 surgery

-84.3

-141.2 to -35.2

0.00

1.00

Type 3 surgery

-61.1

-115.4 to -15.6

0.00

0.99

Thoracic epidural analgesia to intrathecal morphine

Laparoscopic

21.7

0.4 to 50.4

0.87

0.00

Open

62.7

40.5 to 92.5

1.00

0.00

Type 1 surgery

57.8

35.0 to 86.2

1.00

0.00

Type 2 surgery

64.8

35.5 to 100.7

1.00

0.00

Type 3 surgery

48.9

-2.9 to 128.0

0.96

0.00

  1. Probability \(\ge\) 10 mg refers to the probability of a difference in the predicted oral morphine equivalent dose of more than or equal to 10 mg occurring had the alternative analgesia option been utilised, where 0.00 denotes almost no chance of a difference, and 1.00 indicates almost certain chance there will be such a difference i.e. in the first row, if a patient had been administered intrathecal morphine instead of a non-neuraxial technique, they would have reduced their opioid consumption by a mean difference of 5 mg within a range (credibility index) of -18.3 to 9.3 mg and a 3% probability of increasing their opioid consumption by \(\ge\) 10 mg and 22% probability of reducing it by \(\ge\) 10 mg